Jacopo Berrettini vs Jacopo Bilardo Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Jacopo Berrettini has a recent record of winning 47.38% of points on his second serve, outperforming Jacopo Bilardo, who has won 43.27%. Could this serve as a key predictor for the match outcome? Certainly, as second serve performance is often linked to match success.
• Return Game Statistics: When it comes to returning their opponents' second serves, Jacopo Bilardo edges out with 49.43%, compared to Berrettini’s 47.32%. For first serve returns, Bilardo again leads with 31.84% over Berrettini’s 30.03%. Does this indicate an advantage for Bilardo in return games?
• Under Pressure: Berrettini has saved 59.43% of breakpoints recently, while Bilardo has a lower rate of 53.21%. Thus, Berrettini seems better at managing pressure situations.
• Performance Overview: Over the past year, Jacopo Berrettini has won 57.89% of his matches, slightly higher than Bilardo's 50.98%. This suggests a marginal advantage for Berrettini in overall performance.
• Best Surface: Berrettini performs best on clay with a 57% win rate but struggles on indoor hard courts with 0% wins. Bilardo excels on hard surfaces with a 59% win rate but has less success on clay at 48%. Which surface is this match being played on, and could it influence the outcome?
• Player Level: Berrettini has competed more in Challengers/ITF tournaments >$10K with a 44.74% win rate, while Bilardo has mainly played Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K events with a 53.06% win rate. This shows Bilardo's strength in smaller events.
• Opponent Quality: Berrettini has faced opponents with an average ranking of 423.47, whereas Bilardo's opponents averaged a rank of 294.25. Could this mean Bilardo faces tougher competition generally?
• Deciding Set Performance: If the match stretches to a deciding set, Berrettini has a success rate of 55% in the past year, far surpassing Bilardo’s 14%. This might be crucial if the match reaches a tight finish.
• Current Event Performance: It’s important to consider how both players are performing in this specific tournament to gauge the current form.

Editorial Prediction (September 26, 2025, UTC):

In assessing the likely outcome of the match, several factors favor Jacopo Berrettini. His superior performance under pressure and better second serve statistics suggest he might have an edge over Jacopo Bilardo. Additionally, Berrettini's impressive record in deciding sets bolsters his potential as the victor if the match becomes closely contested.

Nonetheless, Bilardo is slightly stronger in return games and is accustomed to competing against higher-ranked opponents, indicating resilience and adaptability. However, considering the comprehensive performance and various metrics analyzed, it seems that Jacopo Berrettini holds a slight advantage.

Given these considerations, Jacopo Berrettini is predicted to be the likely winner of the upcoming match, leveraging his ability to handle pressure and execute critical points efficiently.